Ethiopia’s Northern Crisis: Actors, Interests and the Anatomy of Escalation
Our latest report examines the renewed conflict in northern Ethiopia, tracing the collapse of the Pretoria Agreement, the actors and interests driving the escalation, and the growing regional dimensions involving Eritrea, Sudan, Egypt and the wider Horn of Africa.
The report assesses what is documented, what remains alleged, and what is yet to be verified; while examining the risks of further escalation and the challenges facing regional diplomacy.
Read the full report for a comprehensive assessment of Ethiopia’s evolving northern crisis.
Share this post
RELATED
Posts
After Years of Turnover, Ethiopia Chooses Continuity in Its Foreign Ministry
Abiy Ahmed’s decision to retain Gedion Timothewos as foreign minister...
“Decaffeinated Sovereignty”: Eritrea’s One-Way Street with Ethiopia
There is a peculiar contradiction at the heart of Eritrea’s...
Leaked Documents Allege Sudanese Army Weapons Pipeline to TPLF-Aligned Forces as Tigray War Reignites
Leaked documents alleging a Sudanese army weapons pipeline to TPLF-aligned...
Eritrea Has Officially Invaded Ethiopia, Says Government Communication
Ethiopian Government Formally Condemns Eritrean Territorial Incursion as Its Forces...
The Northern Ethiopian Crisis has Surpassed the Intra-State Conflict Threshold, Inter-State War is Inevitable
The Eritrean regime and its newly allied TPLF hardliners share...
What Abiy Ahmed’s Parliamentary Address Says About Ethiopia’s Next Five Years
In his reappointment to the premiership, Abiy Ahmed offered a...
Egypt Displays Its Anti-Addis Coalition as Ethiopia Gains Against Rebels. What Comes Next?
Egypt's strategy of cultivating relationships around its chief rival in...
Ethiopia's Press Statements Exposes the El-Alamein Contradiction
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ethiopia issued a clear...
Ethiopia Under Abiy Ahmed's Renewed Mandate
With a new five-year term beginning in October 2026, Ethiopia...
Egyptian Airpower and the GERD: From Strike Capability to Strategic Limits
The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam is within the theoretical reach...