A diplomatic delegation from the United States, United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, France, and the European Union arrived in Mekelle, Tigray, on February 11, 2025, underscoring the international community’s concern over the region’s escalating political tensions. The mission aims to engage with the Tigray Interim Administration and Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) factions to discuss the implementation of the Pretoria peace agreement and address the current situation in Tigray.

Internal Divisions Within the TPLF

The TPLF is facing significant internal divisions, particularly between the faction led by Debretsion Gebremichael and that led by Getachew Reda. Tensions have intensified following the TPLF’s 14th Congress, with accusations of destabilization and attempted coups. Recently, Tigray military officials publicly backed one faction, calling for the dissolution and restructuring of the interim administration. This has deepened the political crisis, potentially reigniting conflict.

Impact on Ethiopia’s Stability

These internal divisions pose a serious threat to Ethiopia’s national stability. If not addressed promptly, there is a high risk of renewed conflict. The international community’s role in mediating these tensions is critical to ensure the peace agreement is fully implemented. However, the success of these diplomatic efforts will depend on all parties engaging constructively and prioritizing Ethiopia’s stability over internal power struggles.

Regional Security Considerations

Though the immediate concern is Ethiopia’s internal stability, the situation in Tigray carries broader implications for regional peace and security. A destabilized Ethiopia may struggle to maintain its role as a stabilizing force in the Horn of Africa, with potential ripple effects on neighboring countries. Addressing the internal divisions within the TPLF and ensuring the peace agreement’s full implementation are therefore crucial, not only for Ethiopia’s stability but also for regional security.